Red State or Blue State?
Nevada is a purple state — a genuine battleground with no reliable partisan lean. Democrats carried it in four consecutive presidential elections before it flipped in 2024, and every recent statewide race has been decided inside a handful of points.
Decided by under six points in five straight cycles
Nevada 2028 Primary Outlook
Union endorsements, particularly in Las Vegas hospitality, are the single largest organizing prize on the early calendar. Latino voters make up roughly a fifth of the Democratic primary electorate, and Spanish-language advertising begins earlier here than anywhere else.
Democratic field
| Candidate | Support |
|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom | 26% |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 17% |
| Josh Shapiro | 13% |
Republican field
| Candidate | Support |
|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 31% |
| Ron DeSantis | 17% |
| Glenn Youngkin | 10% |
Nevada 2028 General Election Outlook
Six electoral votes that both campaigns will contest to the final week. Nevada's cost-of-living and tourism-economy concerns tend to make it more sensitive to inflation than the national average.
Recent Presidential Results
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Republican | R +3.1 |
| 2020 | Democratic | D +2.4 |
| 2016 | Democratic | D +2.4 |
| 2012 | Democratic | D +6.7 |