Polling Trend, Six Months
JanFebMarAprMayJun
Fundraising — Q2 2026 FEC Filing
Raised
$38.7M
Cash on hand
$52.1M
Small dollar
44%
Burn rate
$11.8M / qtr
Early-State Organization
| State | Polling | Paid staff | Field offices |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | 22% | 19 | 5 |
| New Hampshire | 27% | 22 | 6 |
| South Carolina | 24% | 15 | 4 |
| Nevada | 29% | 17 | 4 |
The Case For
Unmatched fundraising velocity, a disciplined national media strategy, and early organizational buildout across all four carve-out states.
The Case Against
California's record on cost of living and public safety gives rivals a ready-made contrast in Midwestern general-election battlegrounds.