Live odds
J.D. Vance-110▼ 1%
G. Newsom+120▲ 2%
G. Whitmer+450▲ 4%
J. Shapiro+600— 0%
R. DeSantis+750▼ 2%
G. Youngkin+1400▲ 1%
Live odds
J.D. Vance-110▼ 1%
G. Newsom+120▲ 2%
G. Whitmer+450▲ 4%
J. Shapiro+600— 0%
R. DeSantis+750▼ 2%
G. Youngkin+1400▲ 1%

The Road to the Primaries

Real-time tracking of the 2028 presidential field, combining aggregate polling, fundraising velocity, and prediction-market volatility into a single editorial interface.

Countdown to Iowa
490
Days remaining

Primary Contenders

Democratic Republican
JV
31.8%
-0.4 pts
DeclaredVice President

J.D. Vance

GN
26.4%
+1.2 pts
DeclaredGovernor, California

Gavin Newsom

GW
14.2%
+2.8 pts
ExploringGovernor, Michigan

Gretchen Whitmer

RD
9.5%
0.0 pts
SpeculatedGovernor, Florida

Ron DeSantis

JS
8.1%
+0.6 pts
ExploringGovernor, Pennsylvania

Josh Shapiro

GY
5.3%
-0.9 pts
SpeculatedFmr. Governor, Virginia

Glenn Youngkin

Latest Dispatch

  • 14:22 EST
    Filing

    Q3 filings show a widening cash gap between the two early frontrunners

  • 09:05 EST
    Staffing

    Three veteran Iowa organizers signed by an exploring-committee campaign

  • Yesterday
    Polling

    Suburban independents drift toward undecided in the latest Midwest sample