Red State or Blue State?
Georgia is now a purple state, though it leans marginally Republican. It was reliably red from 1996 through 2016, flipped Democratic in 2020 for the first time in a generation, and returned to the Republican column in 2024 by roughly two points — the definition of a competitive state in transition.
Flipped to Democrats in 2020, back to Republicans in 2024
Georgia 2028 Primary Outlook
Black voters make up close to half the Democratic primary electorate, making Georgia a second major test of the coalition that South Carolina previews. On the Republican side, the split between establishment and populist wings runs deeper here than in most southern states.
Democratic field
| Candidate | Support |
|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom | 22% |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 15% |
| Josh Shapiro | 12% |
Republican field
| Candidate | Support |
|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 35% |
| Ron DeSantis | 18% |
| Glenn Youngkin | 9% |
Georgia 2028 General Election Outlook
Sixteen electoral votes and the largest southern battleground. Suburban Cobb, Gwinnett and Henry counties are where the state is won or lost.
Recent Presidential Results
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Republican | R +2.2 |
| 2020 | Democratic | D +0.2 |
| 2016 | Republican | R +5.1 |
| 2012 | Republican | R +7.8 |