Solid Democratic · CA

Is California a Red or Blue State?

California awards more delegates than any other state and is home to the leading Democratic contender. Its early March placement means a candidate who survives the four early states can effectively lock the nomination here.

Electoral votes
54
D +20.1 in 2024

Red State or Blue State?

California is a blue state and has been since 1992. Democrats hold every statewide office and carry the presidential vote by roughly twenty points or more, which makes it decisive in the primary and irrelevant in the general.

Classification
Blue state
Electoral votes
54
2024 margin
D +20.1
Primary order
#11

Democratic in nine consecutive presidential elections

California 2028 Primary Outlook

The delegate haul is so large that campaigns must build California infrastructure long before the early states vote. Gavin Newsom's statewide profile gives him a substantial home-field advantage in both name recognition and donor access.

Democratic field

CandidateSupport
Gavin Newsom44%
Gretchen Whitmer12%
Josh Shapiro9%

Republican field

CandidateSupport
J.D. Vance30%
Ron DeSantis18%
Glenn Youngkin9%

California 2028 General Election Outlook

Fifty-four electoral votes that are not competitive. California's general-election role is as the Democratic Party's fundraising engine rather than a contested map.

Recent Presidential Results

YearWinnerMargin
2024DemocraticD +20.1
2020DemocraticD +29.2
2016DemocraticD +30.1
2012DemocraticD +23.1