| Ron DeSantis Republican · Speculated | vs | Gavin Newsom Democratic · Declared |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | Polling avg | 26.4% |
| 0.0 | 30-day change | +1.2 |
| +750 | Market line | +120 |
| $8.2M | Q2 raised | $38.7M |
| $21.7M | Cash on hand | $52.1M |
| 27% | Small dollar | 44% |
| 11% | Iowa | 22% |
| 8% | New Hampshire | 27% |
| 10% | South Carolina | 24% |
| 14 | Early-state staff | 73 |
| 5 | Field offices | 19 |
| Florida | Home state | California |
| 49 | Age | 60 |
Ron DeSantis in Brief
Florida's governor retains a national donor rolodex and a policy record built for a primary electorate, but has yet to commit to a second national campaign.
Case for: A proven statewide operation, durable support among movement conservatives, and residual national infrastructure from the prior cycle.
Case against: Flat polling, a donor base that has partly migrated to the frontrunner, and lingering skepticism from the 2024 campaign.
Full Ron DeSantis tracker →Gavin Newsom in Brief
California's governor has spent the last two cycles building a national fundraising operation and a televised debate persona, and now converts that infrastructure into the best-funded Democratic campaign in the field.
Case for: Unmatched fundraising velocity, a disciplined national media strategy, and early organizational buildout across all four carve-out states.
Case against: California's record on cost of living and public safety gives rivals a ready-made contrast in Midwestern general-election battlegrounds.
Full Gavin Newsom tracker →