| Gavin Newsom Democratic · Declared | vs | J.D. Vance Republican · Declared |
|---|---|---|
| 26.4% | Polling avg | 31.8% |
| +1.2 | 30-day change | -0.4 |
| +120 | Market line | -110 |
| $38.7M | Q2 raised | $41.2M |
| $52.1M | Cash on hand | $68.9M |
| 44% | Small dollar | 38% |
| 22% | Iowa | 34% |
| 27% | New Hampshire | 29% |
| 24% | South Carolina | 38% |
| 73 | Early-state staff | 77 |
| 19 | Field offices | 19 |
| California | Home state | Ohio |
| 60 | Age | 43 |
Gavin Newsom in Brief
California's governor has spent the last two cycles building a national fundraising operation and a televised debate persona, and now converts that infrastructure into the best-funded Democratic campaign in the field.
Case for: Unmatched fundraising velocity, a disciplined national media strategy, and early organizational buildout across all four carve-out states.
Case against: California's record on cost of living and public safety gives rivals a ready-made contrast in Midwestern general-election battlegrounds.
Full Gavin Newsom tracker →J.D. Vance in Brief
The sitting vice president enters the 2028 cycle as the closest thing the Republican field has to an incumbent, inheriting a national donor network and near-universal name recognition among primary voters.
Case for: Consolidated institutional support, the largest small-dollar file in the field, and a polling floor no rival has yet been able to crack.
Case against: Frontrunner status invites the full weight of the field's opposition research, and his numbers have drifted slightly in suburban and independent samples.
Full J.D. Vance tracker →