| J.D. Vance Republican · Declared | vs | Ron DeSantis Republican · Speculated |
|---|---|---|
| 31.8% | Polling avg | 9.5% |
| -0.4 | 30-day change | 0.0 |
| -110 | Market line | +750 |
| $41.2M | Q2 raised | $8.2M |
| $68.9M | Cash on hand | $21.7M |
| 38% | Small dollar | 27% |
| 34% | Iowa | 11% |
| 29% | New Hampshire | 8% |
| 38% | South Carolina | 10% |
| 77 | Early-state staff | 14 |
| 19 | Field offices | 5 |
| Ohio | Home state | Florida |
| 43 | Age | 49 |
J.D. Vance in Brief
The sitting vice president enters the 2028 cycle as the closest thing the Republican field has to an incumbent, inheriting a national donor network and near-universal name recognition among primary voters.
Case for: Consolidated institutional support, the largest small-dollar file in the field, and a polling floor no rival has yet been able to crack.
Case against: Frontrunner status invites the full weight of the field's opposition research, and his numbers have drifted slightly in suburban and independent samples.
Full J.D. Vance tracker →Ron DeSantis in Brief
Florida's governor retains a national donor rolodex and a policy record built for a primary electorate, but has yet to commit to a second national campaign.
Case for: A proven statewide operation, durable support among movement conservatives, and residual national infrastructure from the prior cycle.
Case against: Flat polling, a donor base that has partly migrated to the frontrunner, and lingering skepticism from the 2024 campaign.
Full Ron DeSantis tracker →