| Gavin Newsom Democratic · Declared | vs | Josh Shapiro Democratic · Exploring |
|---|---|---|
| 26.4% | Polling avg | 8.1% |
| +1.2 | 30-day change | +0.6 |
| +120 | Market line | +600 |
| $38.7M | Q2 raised | $11.4M |
| $52.1M | Cash on hand | $15.8M |
| 44% | Small dollar | 36% |
| 22% | Iowa | 7% |
| 27% | New Hampshire | 10% |
| 24% | South Carolina | 8% |
| 73 | Early-state staff | 21 |
| 19 | Field offices | 6 |
| California | Home state | Pennsylvania |
| 60 | Age | 53 |
Gavin Newsom in Brief
California's governor has spent the last two cycles building a national fundraising operation and a televised debate persona, and now converts that infrastructure into the best-funded Democratic campaign in the field.
Case for: Unmatched fundraising velocity, a disciplined national media strategy, and early organizational buildout across all four carve-out states.
Case against: California's record on cost of living and public safety gives rivals a ready-made contrast in Midwestern general-election battlegrounds.
Full Gavin Newsom tracker →Josh Shapiro in Brief
Pennsylvania's governor carries the strongest home-state approval numbers of any candidate in either field, in the single most decisive general-election state.
Case for: Elite approval in a must-win state, a crossover appeal that shows up in head-to-head general-election polling, and a rapidly professionalizing finance team.
Case against: Limited national profile, and an exploratory posture that leaves early-state organizing behind schedule.
Full Josh Shapiro tracker →