| Josh Shapiro Democratic · Exploring | vs | J.D. Vance Republican · Declared |
|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | Polling avg | 31.8% |
| +0.6 | 30-day change | -0.4 |
| +600 | Market line | -110 |
| $11.4M | Q2 raised | $41.2M |
| $15.8M | Cash on hand | $68.9M |
| 36% | Small dollar | 38% |
| 7% | Iowa | 34% |
| 10% | New Hampshire | 29% |
| 8% | South Carolina | 38% |
| 21 | Early-state staff | 77 |
| 6 | Field offices | 19 |
| Pennsylvania | Home state | Ohio |
| 53 | Age | 43 |
Josh Shapiro in Brief
Pennsylvania's governor carries the strongest home-state approval numbers of any candidate in either field, in the single most decisive general-election state.
Case for: Elite approval in a must-win state, a crossover appeal that shows up in head-to-head general-election polling, and a rapidly professionalizing finance team.
Case against: Limited national profile, and an exploratory posture that leaves early-state organizing behind schedule.
Full Josh Shapiro tracker →J.D. Vance in Brief
The sitting vice president enters the 2028 cycle as the closest thing the Republican field has to an incumbent, inheriting a national donor network and near-universal name recognition among primary voters.
Case for: Consolidated institutional support, the largest small-dollar file in the field, and a polling floor no rival has yet been able to crack.
Case against: Frontrunner status invites the full weight of the field's opposition research, and his numbers have drifted slightly in suburban and independent samples.
Full J.D. Vance tracker →