| J.D. Vance Republican · Declared | vs | Josh Shapiro Democratic · Exploring |
|---|---|---|
| 31.8% | Polling avg | 8.1% |
| -0.4 | 30-day change | +0.6 |
| -110 | Market line | +600 |
| $41.2M | Q2 raised | $11.4M |
| $68.9M | Cash on hand | $15.8M |
| 38% | Small dollar | 36% |
| 34% | Iowa | 7% |
| 29% | New Hampshire | 10% |
| 38% | South Carolina | 8% |
| 77 | Early-state staff | 21 |
| 19 | Field offices | 6 |
| Ohio | Home state | Pennsylvania |
| 43 | Age | 53 |
J.D. Vance in Brief
The sitting vice president enters the 2028 cycle as the closest thing the Republican field has to an incumbent, inheriting a national donor network and near-universal name recognition among primary voters.
Case for: Consolidated institutional support, the largest small-dollar file in the field, and a polling floor no rival has yet been able to crack.
Case against: Frontrunner status invites the full weight of the field's opposition research, and his numbers have drifted slightly in suburban and independent samples.
Full J.D. Vance tracker →Josh Shapiro in Brief
Pennsylvania's governor carries the strongest home-state approval numbers of any candidate in either field, in the single most decisive general-election state.
Case for: Elite approval in a must-win state, a crossover appeal that shows up in head-to-head general-election polling, and a rapidly professionalizing finance team.
Case against: Limited national profile, and an exploratory posture that leaves early-state organizing behind schedule.
Full Josh Shapiro tracker →