| Gavin Newsom Democratic · Declared | vs | Ron DeSantis Republican · Speculated |
|---|---|---|
| 26.4% | Polling avg | 9.5% |
| +1.2 | 30-day change | 0.0 |
| +120 | Market line | +750 |
| $38.7M | Q2 raised | $8.2M |
| $52.1M | Cash on hand | $21.7M |
| 44% | Small dollar | 27% |
| 22% | Iowa | 11% |
| 27% | New Hampshire | 8% |
| 24% | South Carolina | 10% |
| 73 | Early-state staff | 14 |
| 19 | Field offices | 5 |
| California | Home state | Florida |
| 60 | Age | 49 |
Gavin Newsom in Brief
California's governor has spent the last two cycles building a national fundraising operation and a televised debate persona, and now converts that infrastructure into the best-funded Democratic campaign in the field.
Case for: Unmatched fundraising velocity, a disciplined national media strategy, and early organizational buildout across all four carve-out states.
Case against: California's record on cost of living and public safety gives rivals a ready-made contrast in Midwestern general-election battlegrounds.
Full Gavin Newsom tracker →Ron DeSantis in Brief
Florida's governor retains a national donor rolodex and a policy record built for a primary electorate, but has yet to commit to a second national campaign.
Case for: A proven statewide operation, durable support among movement conservatives, and residual national infrastructure from the prior cycle.
Case against: Flat polling, a donor base that has partly migrated to the frontrunner, and lingering skepticism from the 2024 campaign.
Full Ron DeSantis tracker →