| Josh Shapiro Democratic · Exploring | vs | Gavin Newsom Democratic · Declared |
|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | Polling avg | 26.4% |
| +0.6 | 30-day change | +1.2 |
| +600 | Market line | +120 |
| $11.4M | Q2 raised | $38.7M |
| $15.8M | Cash on hand | $52.1M |
| 36% | Small dollar | 44% |
| 7% | Iowa | 22% |
| 10% | New Hampshire | 27% |
| 8% | South Carolina | 24% |
| 21 | Early-state staff | 73 |
| 6 | Field offices | 19 |
| Pennsylvania | Home state | California |
| 53 | Age | 60 |
Josh Shapiro in Brief
Pennsylvania's governor carries the strongest home-state approval numbers of any candidate in either field, in the single most decisive general-election state.
Case for: Elite approval in a must-win state, a crossover appeal that shows up in head-to-head general-election polling, and a rapidly professionalizing finance team.
Case against: Limited national profile, and an exploratory posture that leaves early-state organizing behind schedule.
Full Josh Shapiro tracker →Gavin Newsom in Brief
California's governor has spent the last two cycles building a national fundraising operation and a televised debate persona, and now converts that infrastructure into the best-funded Democratic campaign in the field.
Case for: Unmatched fundraising velocity, a disciplined national media strategy, and early organizational buildout across all four carve-out states.
Case against: California's record on cost of living and public safety gives rivals a ready-made contrast in Midwestern general-election battlegrounds.
Full Gavin Newsom tracker →