J.D. Vance vs Gretchen Whitmer

A side-by-side read on polling, money and early-state organization for the 2028 cycle. Deeper detail lives on the J.D. Vance profile and the Gretchen Whitmer profile.

J.D. Vance
Republican · Declared
vsGretchen Whitmer
Democratic · Exploring
31.8%Polling avg14.2%
-0.430-day change+2.8
-110Market line+450
$41.2MQ2 raised$14.9M
$68.9MCash on hand$18.3M
38%Small dollar51%
34%Iowa17%
29%New Hampshire15%
38%South Carolina11%
77Early-state staff33
19Field offices9
OhioHome stateMichigan
43Age56

J.D. Vance in Brief

The sitting vice president enters the 2028 cycle as the closest thing the Republican field has to an incumbent, inheriting a national donor network and near-universal name recognition among primary voters.

Case for: Consolidated institutional support, the largest small-dollar file in the field, and a polling floor no rival has yet been able to crack.

Case against: Frontrunner status invites the full weight of the field's opposition research, and his numbers have drifted slightly in suburban and independent samples.

Full J.D. Vance tracker →

Gretchen Whitmer in Brief

Michigan's term-limited governor is the field's clearest Midwestern general-election argument, with a labor-aligned coalition and the fastest momentum of any Democrat currently in the top tier.

Case for: Fastest polling gain in the field, deep UAW and building-trades relationships, and a blue-wall electability pitch that tests well with primary voters.

Case against: A late start leaves her cash on hand well behind the declared frontrunners, and her national name recognition still trails.

Full Gretchen Whitmer tracker →

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